2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and choose

The 2012 Euro Cup is down to the final four teams, and when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon they will be playing to face the winner with the Spain vs. Portugal game that can place later today.
Recent history between those two teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't love earlier times, they're focused on the overall game taking place.
The German squad have never beaten Italy inside a competitive match.
"We can't reverse time, just forget about over it, the past doesn't may play a role within our planning," said German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is always that Germany never won against Italy in a very major tournament, but so what?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it's time for Germany to read more win as they're the widely used at -135. The Over/Under number is 2.5.
This game will be a tricky, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong method on this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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